USD/JPY is expected to trade in a lower range. The US dollar and stocks were impacted by fears about the global growth, particularly those concerning China. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 3.1% to close at 16459, the S&P 500 plunged 3.2% to 1970, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.5% to 4706.04. Having declined 10% from its recent high, the DJIA is now in correction territory, and its loss of more than 1,000 points last week was the largest weekly decline since October 2008. Crude oil touched as low as $39.86 a barrel before finishing at $40.45, down 2.1% on the day, while gold gained 0.7% to $1160 per ounce. Safe-haven buying of US government bonds pushed down the 10-year Treasury yield to 2.052% – the lowest level since April – from 2.084%. The US dollar plunged against most major currencies as traders became more doubtful about whether the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates next month. The greenback lost over 1% against the euro and the yen. Regarding USD/JPY, the pair posted strong downward momentum after breaking below both the 120.00 and 119 levels. Both the declining 20- and 50-period intraday moving averages are maintaining the bearish bias. And the intraday RSI is capped by a declining trendline. As long as 120.55 holds as the key resistance, the pair is expected to head towards the first downside target at 117 .
The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 121.30. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 122.35. The pivot point stands at 120.55. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, long positions are recommended with the first target at 121.30 and the second target at 122.35.
Resistance levels: 121.30 122.35 123
Support levels: 117 116.20 115.65
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