USD/CHF is expected to consolidate with a bullish bias after hitting a two-year high at 0.9850 on Monday. It is supported by the positive dollar sentiment (ICE spot dollar index hit eight-and-a-half year high 89.794 overnight; last 89.742 versus 89.650 early Monday) as expectations that the Fed would raise interest rates sooner than other central banks and rise in Chicago Fed National Activity Index to +0.73 in November from +0.31 in October overshadowed a bigger-than-expected 6.1% drop in U.S. November existing-home sales (versus forecast -1.1%). Besides, Swiss National Bank announced on Thursday it would charge a negative interest rate on deposits from Jan. 22. But USD/CHF gains are tempered by the franc demand on buoyant CHF/JPY cross.
Daily chart is positive-biased as MACD and stochastics are bullish five- and 15-day moving averages are advancing.
The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price is keeping above its pivot point, a long position is recommended with the first target at 0.9890 and the second target at 0.9940. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.9715. A break of this target would push the pair further downward, and one may expect the second target at 0.9660. The pivot point is at 0.9780.
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